Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000982 0.001122 0.001263 0.001414 0.001572 0.001731 0.001902
2026-01-11 0.000761 0.000962 0.001170 0.001401 0.001646 0.001898 0.002176
2026-01-18 0.000589 0.000832 0.001094 0.001390 0.001713 0.002049 0.002423
2026-01-25 0.000415 0.000681 0.000979 0.001328 0.001714 0.002123 0.002583
2026-02-01 0.000295 0.000576 0.000907 0.001303 0.001750 0.002229 0.002774
2026-02-08 0.000212 0.000504 0.000864 0.001305 0.001811 0.002359 0.002987
2026-02-15 0.000150 0.000448 0.000834 0.001319 0.001882 0.002496 0.003204
2026-02-22 0.000104 0.000406 0.000818 0.001344 0.001962 0.002642 0.003429
2026-03-01 0.000057 0.000348 0.000774 0.001334 0.001999 0.002737 0.003596
2026-03-08 0.000018 0.000283 0.000716 0.001301 0.002007 0.002797 0.003721
2026-03-15 0.000002 0.000248 0.000694 0.001311 0.002064 0.002910 0.003903
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000202 0.000652 0.001293 0.002085 0.002980 0.004037
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000157 0.000617 0.001298 0.002150 0.003122 0.004274
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000110 0.000570 0.001285 0.002195 0.003241 0.004488
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000071 0.000528 0.001275 0.002242 0.003364 0.004707
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000026 0.000452 0.001214 0.002225 0.003410 0.004837
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000005 0.000405 0.001190 0.002251 0.003505 0.005022
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000379 0.001193 0.002309 0.003636 0.005247
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000360 0.001206 0.002379 0.003780 0.005486
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000350 0.001230 0.002462 0.003939 0.005741
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000320 0.001220 0.002500 0.004043 0.005931
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000279 0.001188 0.002507 0.004109 0.006077
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000264 0.001199 0.002569 0.004239 0.006295